Every citizen who monitors the socio-political situation in the country, at least once faced with the concept of "average life expectancy." Leading domestic media are full of headlines like "Life expectancy has decreased by X months" or "The average Russian began to live longer by N%."
Very often, the data are very contradictory or even frankly speculative. What is this indicator and how adequately does it reflect the demographic situation? We will talk about this in today's article.
The essence of the term and calculation methodology
Average or life expectancy is an integral demographic indicator showing how long an average number of people born in one year will live, with a constant mortality rate in each age group. The method of calculation is based on the use of mortality tables - systems of numbers characterizing the order of extinction of human generations.
Every year, the Federal Statistics Service collects information on mortality, after which it distributes the dead according to gender, age, and place of residence. The next step is to divide the number of person-years of later life for surviving to the age of N by the number of surviving to the age of N.
If N = 0, then we will call the resulting figure "life expectancy at birth" or OPZHPR. It OPZHPR most accurately displays information on mortality of the population, because, in contrast to the mortality rate, it is not dependent on the age structure of the population.
Also, in most cases, when talking about the average life expectancy, mean OPZHPR.
Expected average age of life expectancy at birth in the regions of Russia
The latest data anyone can find on the site of Rosstat. We invite you to familiarize yourself with the table for 2015:
Life expectancy at birth in the Russian Federation for 2015 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
g. | m | average | ||
Altai region | whole population | 75,84 | 64,97 | 70,44 |
urban population | 76,41 | 65,43 | 71,13 | |
rural population | 75 | 64,01 | 69,32 | |
Amur region | whole population | 73,26 | 61,64 | 67,27 |
urban population | 73,7 | 62,4 | 68,06 | |
rural population | 72,09 | 60,08 | 65,46 | |
Arkhangelsk region | whole population | 76,6 | 64,85 | 70,71 |
urban population | 77,24 | 65,7 | 71,67 | |
rural population | 73,81 | 62,19 | 67,32 | |
Astrakhan region | whole population | 76,58 | 66,1 | 71,36 |
urban population | 77,15 | 66,64 | 72,01 | |
rural population | 75,38 | 65,07 | 70,07 | |
Belgorod region | whole population | 77,73 | 67,33 | 72,61 |
urban population | 77,9 | 67,78 | 73,03 | |
rural population | 77,17 | 66,35 | 71,6 | |
Bryansk region | whole population | 76,37 | 64,32 | 70,36 |
urban population | 76,84 | 64,86 | 70,99 | |
rural population | 75,18 | 63,16 | 68,83 | |
Vladimir region | whole population | 75,59 | 63,86 | 69,82 |
urban population | 75,83 | 63,78 | 69,97 | |
rural population | 74,62 | 64,02 | 69,16 | |
Volgograd region | whole population | 77,13 | 66,68 | 71,98 |
urban population | 77,51 | 67,07 | 72,47 | |
rural population | 75,79 | 65,48 | 70,4 | |
Vologodskaya Oblast | whole population | 76,47 | 64,38 | 70,4 |
urban population | 76,85 | 64,76 | 71 | |
rural population | 75,26 | 63,15 | 68,64 | |
Voronezh region | whole population | 77,7 | 65,66 | 71,67 |
urban population | 78,11 | 66,11 | 72,25 | |
rural population | 76,96 | 64,69 | 70,54 | |
Moscow | whole population | 80,36 | 72,96 | 76,77 |
urban population | 80,36 | 72,98 | 76,78 | |
rural population | 79,31 | 70,88 | 75,32 | |
St. Petersburg | whole population | 78,38 | 69,83 | 74,42 |
urban population | 78,38 | 69,83 | 74,42 | |
rural population | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Far Eastern Federal District | whole population | 74,35 | 63,28 | 68,68 |
urban population | 74,92 | 63,9 | 69,38 | |
rural population | 72,45 | 61,46 | 66,51 | |
Jewish Autonomous Region | whole population | 71,47 | 59,12 | 65,04 |
urban population | 70,64 | 60,12 | 66,1 | |
rural population | 69,79 | 54,53 | 62,95 | |
Transbaikal region | whole population | 73,03 | 61,92 | 67,34 |
urban population | 73,43 | 62,57 | 68,04 | |
rural population | 72,02 | 60,33 | 65,62 | |
Ivanovo region | whole population | 76,14 | 64,71 | 70,62 |
urban population | 76,19 | 64,34 | 70,57 | |
rural population | 75,81 | 66,07 | 70,79 | |
Irkutsk region | whole population | 73,48 | 61,31 | 67,37 |
urban population | 73,93 | 61,79 | 67,96 | |
rural population | 71,72 | 59,53 | 65,11 | |
Kabardino-Balkaria | whole population | 79,1 | 69,82 | 74,61 |
urban population | 79,31 | 70,11 | 75,02 | |
rural population | 78,94 | 69,5 | 74,18 | |
Kaliningrad region | whole population | 75,4 | 65,5 | 70,58 |
urban population | 75,76 | 66,01 | 71,1 | |
rural population | 73,99 | 63,86 | 68,73 | |
Kaluga region | whole population | 76,28 | 65,13 | 70,73 |
urban population | 76,4 | 65,03 | 70,84 | |
rural population | 75,8 | 65,38 | 70,36 | |
Kamchatka Krai | whole population | 74,41 | 63,26 | 68,56 |
urban population | 75,51 | 64,51 | 69,83 | |
rural population | 70,8 | 59,1 | 64,29 | |
Karachay-Cherkess Republic | whole population | 78,66 | 69,94 | 74,44 |
urban population | 78,54 | 70 | 74,58 | |
rural population | 78,68 | 69,9 | 74,32 | |
Kemerovo region | whole population | 74,32 | 62,32 | 68,31 |
urban population | 74,45 | 62,42 | 68,51 | |
rural population | 73,48 | 61,75 | 67,13 | |
Kirov region | whole population | 77,09 | 65,2 | 71,11 |
urban population | 77,57 | 65,93 | 71,92 | |
rural population | 75,24 | 62,86 | 68,38 | |
Kostroma region | whole population | 75,68 | 64,94 | 70,38 |
urban population | 76,05 | 65,2 | 70,85 | |
rural population | 74,42 | 64,13 | 69,03 | |
Krasnodar region | whole population | 77,35 | 67,55 | 72,53 |
urban population | 77,27 | 67,25 | 72,43 | |
rural population | 77,41 | 67,89 | 72,64 | |
Krasnoyarsk region | whole population | 75,34 | 64,01 | 69,69 |
urban population | 76,17 | 64,93 | 70,73 | |
rural population | 72,49 | 61,03 | 66,26 | |
Kurgan region | whole population | 75,51 | 62,82 | 69,03 |
urban population | 76,76 | 63,39 | 70,14 | |
rural population | 73,33 | 61,73 | 67,11 | |
Kursk region | whole population | 76,78 | 64,81 | 70,8 |
urban population | 77,46 | 65,78 | 71,84 | |
rural population | 75,24 | 62,96 | 68,66 | |
Leningrad region | whole population | 76,6 | 65,84 | 71,23 |
urban population | 76,06 | 64,46 | 70,28 | |
rural population | 77,73 | 68,76 | 73,18 | |
Lipetsk region | whole population | 76,77 | 65,26 | 71,07 |
urban population | 77,16 | 65,87 | 71,73 | |
rural population | 75,98 | 64,12 | 69,81 | |
Magadan Region | whole population | 73,42 | 63,17 | 68,11 |
urban population | 73,55 | 63,59 | 68,48 | |
rural population | 67,97 | 53,27 | 60,35 | |
Moscow region | whole population | 77,12 | 67,05 | 72,26 |
urban population | 76,92 | 66,7 | 72,01 | |
rural population | 78,1 | 68,67 | 73,42 | |
Murmansk region | whole population | 75,72 | 64,48 | 70,24 |
urban population | 75,49 | 64,3 | 70,03 | |
rural population | 79,65 | 66,26 | 73,25 | |
Nenets Autonomous District | whole population | 76,9 | 65,22 | 71 |
urban population | 78 | 68,79 | 73,78 | |
rural population | 72,85 | 57,66 | 64,63 | |
Nizhny Novgorod Region | whole population | 76,14 | 64,05 | 70,17 |
urban population | 76,33 | 64,22 | 70,47 | |
rural population | 75,14 | 63,29 | 68,83 | |
Novgorod region | whole population | 74,93 | 62,47 | 68,7 |
urban population | 74,97 | 62,77 | 69,06 | |
rural population | 74,46 | 61,4 | 67,38 | |
Novosibirsk region | whole population | 76,6 | 65,08 | 70,86 |
urban population | 77,24 | 65,66 | 71,59 | |
rural population | 74,16 | 62,89 | 68,14 | |
Omsk region | whole population | 76,17 | 64,56 | 70,41 |
urban population | 76,92 | 65,39 | 71,34 | |
rural population | 74,15 | 62,44 | 67,95 | |
Orenburg region | whole population | 75,47 | 63,87 | 69,63 |
urban population | 75,7 | 63,89 | 69,89 | |
rural population | 75,1 | 63,7 | 69,15 | |
Oryol Region | whole population | 76,83 | 63,96 | 70,38 |
urban population | 77,62 | 64,66 | 71,34 | |
rural population | 75,14 | 62,55 | 68,5 | |
Penza region | whole population | 77,58 | 66,47 | 72,12 |
urban population | 77,83 | 66,97 | 72,64 | |
rural population | 76,99 | 65,39 | 70,98 | |
Perm region | whole population | 75,09 | 63,08 | 69,09 |
urban population | 75,74 | 63,81 | 69,97 | |
rural population | 72,97 | 61 | 66,43 | |
Volga Federal District | whole population | 76,55 | 64,83 | 70,71 |
urban population | 76,92 | 65,29 | 71,29 | |
rural population | 75,5 | 63,66 | 69,18 | |
Primorsky Krai | whole population | 74,58 | 64,04 | 69,21 |
urban population | 75,14 | 64,81 | 70 | |
rural population | 72,61 | 61,69 | 66,65 | |
Pskov region | whole population | 74,27 | 62,78 | 68,48 |
urban population | 74,85 | 62,77 | 68,96 | |
rural population | 72,1 | 62,23 | 66,76 | |
Republic of Adygea | whole population | 77,51 | 66,88 | 72,22 |
urban population | 77,41 | 67,77 | 72,89 | |
rural population | 77,59 | 66,05 | 71,62 | |
Altai Republic | whole population | 74,19 | 62,82 | 68,44 |
urban population | 76,95 | 64,16 | 69,83 | |
rural population | 72,47 | 61,58 | 66,69 | |
Republic of Bashkortostan | whole population | 76,03 | 64,31 | 70,08 |
urban population | 76,74 | 65,13 | 71,06 | |
rural population | 74,67 | 62,94 | 68,36 | |
The Republic of Buryatia | whole population | 74,54 | 63,73 | 69,15 |
urban population | 75,74 | 64,57 | 70,38 | |
rural population | 72,72 | 62,3 | 67,25 | |
The Republic of Dagestan | whole population | 79,47 | 73,18 | 76,39 |
urban population | 79,96 | 75,08 | 77,55 | |
rural population | 79 | 71,72 | 75,42 | |
The Republic of Ingushetia | whole population | 83,02 | 76,51 | 80,05 |
urban population | 83,61 | 75,36 | 79,85 | |
rural population | 82,44 | 77,49 | 80,12 | |
Republic of Kalmykia | whole population | 77,31 | 67,01 | 72,15 |
urban population | 77,92 | 65,35 | 72,51 | |
rural population | 75,48 | 67,2 | 71,77 | |
Republic of Karelia | whole population | 75,5 | 62,86 | 69,16 |
urban population | 76,46 | 63,91 | 70,33 | |
rural population | 70,07 | 57,63 | 64,56 | |
Komi Republic | whole population | 75,66 | 63,26 | 69,4 |
urban population | 76,27 | 64,2 | 70,36 | |
rural population | 72,42 | 59 | 65,72 | |
Mari El Republic | whole population | 76,36 | 63,52 | 69,8 |
urban population | 77,4 | 64,98 | 71,37 | |
rural population | 74,3 | 61,23 | 67,05 | |
The Republic of Mordovia | whole population | 77,54 | 66,49 | 72,06 |
urban population | 78,17 | 66,97 | 72,83 | |
rural population | 75,42 | 65,6 | 70,78 | |
The Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) | whole population | 75,84 | 64,94 | 70,29 |
urban population | 76,28 | 65,4 | 70,86 | |
rural population | 75,01 | 64,02 | 69,16 | |
Republic of North Ossetia-Alania | whole population | 79,42 | 68,62 | 74,2 |
urban population | 79,07 | 68,27 | 74 | |
rural population | 80,08 | 69,25 | 74,56 | |
Republic of Tatarstan | whole population | 78,38 | 67,05 | 72,81 |
urban population | 78,49 | 67,31 | 73,14 | |
rural population | 77,98 | 66,11 | 71,65 | |
Tyva Republic | whole population | 68,29 | 58,05 | 63,13 |
urban population | 71,66 | 61,47 | 66,82 | |
rural population | 64,02 | 53,99 | 58,5 | |
The Republic of Khakassia | whole population | 73,83 | 63,4 | 68,68 |
urban population | 75,04 | 64,77 | 70,1 | |
rural population | 71,18 | 60,52 | 65,61 | |
Russian Federation | whole population | 76,71 | 65,92 | 71,39 |
urban population | 77,09 | 66,38 | 71,91 | |
rural population | 75,59 | 64,67 | 69,9 | |
Rostov region | whole population | 76,73 | 66,9 | 71,9 |
urban population | 76,98 | 67,1 | 72,22 | |
rural population | 76,16 | 66,47 | 71,23 | |
Ryazan Oblast | whole population | 77,08 | 65,72 | 71,46 |
urban population | 76,77 | 65,93 | 71,55 | |
rural population | 76,9 | 65,03 | 70,96 | |
Samara Region | whole population | 76,28 | 64,34 | 70,35 |
urban population | 76,33 | 64,31 | 70,44 | |
rural population | 76,14 | 64,46 | 70 | |
Saratov region | whole population | 76,78 | 65,83 | 71,4 |
urban population | 77,11 | 66,04 | 71,76 | |
rural population | 75,72 | 65,22 | 70,26 | |
Sakhalin region | whole population | 74,07 | 62,35 | 67,99 |
urban population | 74,39 | 62,56 | 68,35 | |
rural population | 70,69 | 61,18 | 66,37 | |
Sverdlovsk region | whole population | 75,83 | 63,75 | 69,83 |
urban population | 75,99 | 63,87 | 70,06 | |
rural population | 74,74 | 63,05 | 68,49 | |
Northwest Federal District | whole population | 76,83 | 66,28 | 71,7 |
urban population | 77,14 | 66,76 | 72,19 | |
rural population | 75,07 | 63,93 | 69,12 | |
Siberian Federal District | whole population | 75,02 | 63,59 | 69,31 |
urban population | 75,67 | 64,22 | 70,09 | |
rural population | 73,16 | 61,81 | 67,13 | |
Smolensk region | whole population | 75,34 | 64,08 | 69,74 |
urban population | 75,9 | 64,66 | 70,51 | |
rural population | 73,78 | 62,63 | 67,81 | |
Stavropol region | whole population | 77,82 | 68,61 | 73,36 |
urban population | 78,35 | 69,51 | 74,2 | |
rural population | 77,06 | 67,43 | 72,2 | |
Tambov Region | whole population | 77,51 | 65,9 | 71,67 |
urban population | 77,05 | 66,28 | 72,1 | |
rural population | 77,33 | 65,3 | 70,99 | |
Tver region | whole population | 74,85 | 63,33 | 69,1 |
urban population | 75,09 | 63,28 | 69,33 | |
rural population | 73,87 | 63,48 | 68,24 | |
Tomsk region | whole population | 76,46 | 65,94 | 71,25 |
urban population | 77,38 | 67,1 | 72,43 | |
rural population | 74,17 | 63,1 | 68,33 | |
Tula region | whole population | 76,01 | 64,01 | 70,06 |
urban population | 76,03 | 63,94 | 70,13 | |
rural population | 75,94 | 64,18 | 69,85 | |
Tyumen region | whole population | 77,01 | 66,47 | 71,76 |
urban population | 77,73 | 67,54 | 72,76 | |
rural population | 74,39 | 62,62 | 68,14 | |
Udmurtia | whole population | 76,64 | 64,24 | 70,46 |
urban population | 77,11 | 65,33 | 71,53 | |
rural population | 75,55 | 62,31 | 68,38 | |
Ulyanovsk region | whole population | 76,45 | 64,5 | 70,46 |
urban population | 76,82 | 64,87 | 70,94 | |
rural population | 75,1 | 63,42 | 68,97 | |
Ural federal district | whole population | 76,15 | 64,55 | 70,38 |
urban population | 76,58 | 65,02 | 70,93 | |
rural population | 74,21 | 62,51 | 68,01 | |
Khabarovsk region | whole population | 74,36 | 63,21 | 68,72 |
urban population | 74,87 | 63,38 | 69,12 | |
rural population | 71,83 | 62,33 | 66,83 | |
Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug-Ugra | whole population | 77,47 | 67,57 | 72,58 |
urban population | 77,74 | 67,93 | 72,92 | |
rural population | 74,59 | 63,12 | 69,13 | |
Central Federal District | whole population | 77,71 | 67,49 | 72,72 |
urban population | 78,02 | 68,09 | 73,24 | |
rural population | 76,32 | 65,17 | 70,54 | |
Chelyabinsk region | whole population | 75,75 | 63,94 | 69,9 |
urban population | 76,16 | 64,33 | 70,38 | |
rural population | 73,79 | 62,06 | 67,62 | |
Chechen Republic | whole population | 76,44 | 70,35 | 73,45 |
urban population | 74,68 | 67,91 | 71,28 | |
rural population | 77,33 | 71,72 | 74,62 | |
Chuvash Republic | whole population | 77,24 | 65,53 | 71,35 |
urban population | 77,84 | 66,7 | 72,58 | |
rural population | 76,05 | 63,86 | 69,34 | |
Chukotka Autonomous District | whole population | 69,69 | 59,35 | 64,16 |
urban population | 75,5 | 63,79 | 69,15 | |
rural population | 58,53 | 51,9 | 55,32 | |
Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug | whole population | 76,37 | 66,9 | 71,7 |
urban population | 77,05 | 68,2 | 72,76 | |
rural population | 73,12 | 60,52 | 66,32 | |
Yaroslavskaya oblast | whole population | 76,69 | 64,95 | 70,98 |
urban population | 76,75 | 65,08 | 71,21 | |
rural population | 76,28 | 64,17 | 69,86 |
As can be seen from the table, OPZHPR in the Russian Federation for 2015 amounted to 71.39 years, which is a record since 1991. In support of this thesis, in order not to overload the reader with a huge array of data, we have compiled a graph reflecting the dynamics of the average life expectancy in Russia since 1991:
Also, women traditionally live longer, which can be judged based on the following diagram:
Perspectives
Average life expectancy is the most important indicator in demographic and sociological statistics. Its value is directly proportional to mortality, government spending on health care, education, social protection of vulnerable groups of the population, the level of the criminal situation in the country.
Rosstat claims that in 2015 the number of newborns for the first time exceeded the number of deaths, and this trend remains steady. This trend is immediately displayed on the statistics, as you could see above.
In 2007, the government approved the “Concept of the demographic policy of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2025”. One of the points of the program was an increase in the average life of up to 70 years. As you can see, the result exceeded expectations.
Further growth of OPCHR depends on the stability of the socio-political situation, the growth of the population’s well-being, the improvement of the environment and the absence of major armed conflicts in the long term.
And a few more figures about life expectancy - in the next video.